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Estimation of counterfactual distributions using quantile regression

abstract This paper proposes estimators of unconditional distribution functions in the presence of covariates. The methods are based on the estimation of the conditional distribution by (parametric or nonparametric) quantile regression. The conditional distribution is then integrated over the range of the covariates, allowing for the estimation of counterfactual distributions. In the parametric settings, we propose an extension of the Oaxaca (1973) / Blinder (1973) decomposition of means to the full distribution. In the nonparametric setting, we develop an efficient local-linear regression estimator for quantile treatment effects. We show root n consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimators and present analytical estimators of their variance. Monte-Carlo simulations show that the procedures perform well in finite samples. An application to the black-white wage gap illustrates the usefulness of the estimators.
   
type discussion paper (English)
   
keywords Quantile Regression, Quantile Treatment Effect, Oaxaca / Blinder Decomposition, Wage Differentials, Racial Discrimination
   
date of appearance 10-2-2006
page(s) 50
review not reviewed
   
citation Melly, B. (2006). Estimation of counterfactual distributions using quantile regression.