The political economics of the Arab Spring

Item Type	Journal paper
Abstract	There were large differences in the responses of Arab dictators to the Arab Spring protests. To understand these differences, I present a stylized model of how a dictator responds to mass protests for democratization in a polarized country with two ethnic or religious groups. In this model, the dictator's response crucially depends on oil revenues and his affiliation to either the majority or the minority group. I document that the model's predictions are consistent with the observed differences in the Arab dictators' responses. Hence, ethnic politics and religious divides may play an important role in political transitions and regime changes.
Authors	Hodler, Roland
Journal or Publication Title	Economic Inquiry
Language	English
Subjects	economics political science
HSG Classification	contribution to scientific community
Refereed	Yes
Date	18 January 2018
Publisher	Wiley-Blackwell
Place of Publication	Hoboken, NJ
Volume	56
Number	2
Page Range	821-836
ISSN	0095-2583
ISSN-Digital	1465-7295
Publisher DOI	https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.12550
Depositing User	Prof. Dr. Roland Hodler
Date Deposited	09 Oct 2018 04:49
Last Modified	03 Feb 2023 01:25
URI:	https://www.alexandria.unisg.ch/publications/255230

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Hodler, Roland (2018) The political economics of the Arab Spring. Economic Inquiry, 56 (2). 821-836. ISSN 0095-2583

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