Now showing 1 - 10 of 117
  • Publication
    Judgment Day: Algorithmic Trading around the Swiss Franc Cap Removal
    (Elsevier, 2023-01)
    Breedon, Francis
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    Chen, Louisa
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    Vause, Nicholas
  • Publication
    Safe Asset Carry Trade
    (Oxford University Press, 2022-09-09) ;
    We provide the first systematic asset pricing analysis of one of the main safe asset categories, the repurchase agreement (repo). Based on the temporal and cross-sectional variation in short-term rates, we form a carry that, together with a market factor, prices these near-money assets in a linear pricing model. The carry depicts heterogeneity in nonpecuniary convenience yields of collateral assets and increases in the safety premium and the liquidity premium reflecting opportunity cost. Our carry helps explain the cross-section of short-term rates, as well as of long-term bond returns after accounting for standard bond pricing factors. (JEL E40, E41, G00, G01, G10, G11). Authors have furnished an Internet Appendix, which is available on the Oxford University Press Web site next to the link to the final published paper online.
  • Publication
    Liquidity Risk and Funding Cost
    We propose and test a new channel that links funding liquidity risk and interest rates in short-term funding markets. Unlike existing theories that focus on premiums demanded by lenders, the funding liquidity risk channel postulates that borrowers exposed to liquidity shocks are willing to pay a markup for immediate funding. We test and quantify the channel using unique trade-by-trade data and uncover systematic differences across individual banks' funding cost driven by idiosyncratic liquidity risk. These differences are persistent over a decade, suggesting that the funding liquidity risk channel is relevant in general and not only arises during crisis times.
    Scopus© Citations 2
  • Publication
    Unsecured and Secured Funding
    (Wiley-Blackwell, 2021-07-20)
    Di Filippo, Mario
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    We study how individual banks borrow and lend in the euro unsecured and secured interbank market. We find that banks with lower credit worthiness replace unsecured with secured borrowing, which is consistent with a reduction in the supply of unsecured loans rather than a lower demand for funding. Riskier lenders replace unsecured with secured lending, suggesting that banks take precautionary measures and prefer to lend against safe collateral. Our results highlight the importance of a joint analysis of unsecured and secured funding. Separate analyses only give a partial view and might yield misleading conclusions when banks access both funding sources.
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  • Publication
    Regulatory Effects on Short Term Interest Rates
    (Elsevier, 2021-04-21) ; ;
    Vasios, Michalis
    We analyze the effects of prudential regulation on short-term interest rates. The European Market Infrastructure Regulation (EMIR) induces clearing houses (CCPs) to supply large amounts of cash in reverse repurchase agreements (repos). Basel III, in contrast, disincentivizes the borrowing demand by tightening banks’ balance sheet constraints. Using unique regulatory data of CCP investment activity and repo transactions, we find compelling evidence for both the supply and demand channels. The overall effects are decreasing short-term rates and increasing market imbalances in various forms, all of which entail unintended consequences due to the new regulatory framework.
    Scopus© Citations 6
  • Publication
    Asymmetric Information Risk in FX Markets
    This work studies the information content of trades in the world’s largest over-the-counter (OTC) market, the foreign exchange (FX) market. It analyzes a novel, comprehensive order flow data set, distinguishing among different groups of market participants and covering a large cross-section of currency pairs. We find compelling evidence of heterogeneous superior information across agents, time, and currency pairs, consistent with the asymmetric information theory and OTC market fragmentation. A trading strategy based on the permanent price impact, capturing asymmetric information risk, generates high returns even after accounting for risk, transaction cost, and other common risk factors shown in the FX literature.
    Scopus© Citations 19
  • Publication
    OTC Premia
    (Elsevier, 2020-04)
    Cenedese, Gino
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    Vasios, Michalis
    Using unique data at transaction and identity levels, we provide the first systematic study of interest rate swaps traded over the counter (OTC). We find substantial and persistent heterogeneity in derivative prices consistent with a pass-through of regulatory costs on to market prices via so-called valuation adjustments (XVA). A client pays a higher Price to buy interest rate protection from a dealer (i.e., the client pays a higher fixed rate) if the contract is not cleared via a central counterparty. This OTC premium decreases by posting initial margins and with higher buyer's creditworthiness. OTC premia are absent for dealers suggesting bargaining power.
    Scopus© Citations 9
  • Publication
    A Simple Estimation of Bid-Ask Spreads from Daily Close, High, and Low Prices
    (Oxford Univ. Press, 2017-12-01) ;
    We propose a new method to estimate the bid-ask spread when quote data are not available. Compared to other low-frequency estimates, this method utilizes a wider information set, namely, readily available close, high, and low prices. In the absence of end-of-day Quote data, this method generally provides the highest cross-sectional and average time-series correlations with the TAQ effective spread benchmark. Moreover, it delivers the most accurate estimates for less liquid stocks. Our estimator has many potential applications, including an accurate measurement of transaction cost, systematic liquidity risk, and commonality in liquidity for U.S. stocks dating back almost one century.
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    Scopus© Citations 120
  • Publication
    Understanding FX Liquidity
    (Oxford University Press, 2015-11)
    Karnaukh, Nina
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    We provide a comprehensive study of the liquidity of spot foreign exchange (FX) rates over more than two decades and a large cross-section of currencies. First, we show that FX liquidity can be accurately measured with daily and readily available data. Second, we demonstrate that FX liquidity declines with funding constraints and global risk, supporting theoretical models relating funding and market liquidity. In these distressed circumstances, liquidity tends to evaporate more for developed and riskier currencies. Finally, we show stronger comovements of FX liquidities in distressed markets, especially when funding is constrained, volatility is high, and FX speculators incur losses.
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    Scopus© Citations 83
  • Publication
    The Euro Interbank Repo Market
    (Oxford Univ. Press, 2015-09-16)
    Mancini, Loriano
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    The search for a market design that ensures stable bank funding is at the top of regulators' policy agenda. This paper empirically shows that the central counterparty (CCP)-based euro interbank repo market features this stability. Using a unique and comprehensive data set, we show that the market is resilient during crisis episodes and may even act as a shock absorber, in the sense that repo lending increases with risk, while spreads, maturities, and haircuts remain stable. Our comparison across different repo markets shows that anonymous CCP-based trading, safe collateral, and the absence of an unwind mechanism are the key characteristics to ensure market resilience
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    Scopus© Citations 41