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  4. LASSO-Driven Inference in Time and Space
 
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LASSO-Driven Inference in Time and Space

Type
working paper
Date Issued
2018-10-15
Author(s)
Chernozhukov, Victor
Härdle, Wolfgang
Huang, Chen
Wang, Weining
Abstract
We consider the estimation and inference in a system of high-dimensional regression equations allowing for temporal and cross-sectional dependency in covariates and error processes, covering rather general forms of weak dependence. A sequence of large-scale regressions with LASSO is applied to reduce the dimensionality, and an overall penalty level is carefully chosen by a block multiplier bootstrap procedure to account for multiplicity of the equations and dependencies in the data. Correspondingly, oracle properties with a jointly selected tuning parameter are derived. We further provide high-quality de-biased simultaneous inference on the many target parameters of the system. We provide bootstrap consistency results of the test procedure, which are based on a general Bahadur representation for the Z-estimators with dependent data. Simulations demonstrate good performance of the proposed inference procedure. Finally, we apply the method to quantify spillover effects of textual sentiment indices in a financial market and to test the connectedness among sectors.
Language
English
HSG Classification
contribution to scientific community
HSG Profile Area
SEPS - Quantitative Economic Methods
Publisher
arXiv preprint
Official URL
https://arxiv.org/abs/1806.05081
URL
https://www.alexandria.unisg.ch/handle/20.500.14171/99941
Subject(s)
  • economics

Division(s)
  • MS - Faculty of Mathe...

Eprints ID
255314
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