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Alexander Krumer
Former Member
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PublicationMidweek Effect on Soccer Performance: Evidence from the German Bundesliga
Scopus© Citations 24 -
PublicationOn Winning Probabilities, Weight Categories and Home Advantage in Professional JudoJudo is a combat sport with seven different weight categories. In this article, we examined data from 1,902 men’s and 1,400 women’s fights at the eight most prestigious judo tournaments during the period 2010-2013. Using a single fight as the unit of observation, we found that the probability for the favorite to win against the underdog in the men’s half-lightweight category is significantly lower than in most other categories. Moreover, in fights in which only European and/or Asian judokas participate, we found that the men’s half-lightweight category is significantly more balanced than all other men’s categories. For women, there is no consistent evidence that any one weight category is more balanced than any of the others. Our results indicate that in choosing the members of a national team, it is to some extent reasonable for national coaches to select a lower ranked judoka in the men’s half-lightweight category over a higher ranked judoka in several other weight categories. We also found that the home advantage increases the probability of winning a single fight for both genders. This result implies that it might be worthwhile for national judo associations to bid to host international tournaments in order to improve the world rankings of their domestic judokas.Type: journal articleJournal: Journal of sports economicsVolume: 18Issue: 1
Scopus© Citations 28 -
PublicationFirst in first win: Evidence on schedule effects in round-robin tournaments in mega-eventsType: journal articleJournal: European Economic ReviewVolume: 100
Scopus© Citations 29 -
PublicationRound-Robin Tournaments with a Dominant PlayerWe analyze the subgame perfect equilibrium of the round‐robin tournament with one strong (dominant) and two weak players, and we compare this tournament and the one‐stage contest with respect to the players' expected payoffs, expected total effort, and their probabilities of winning. We find that if the contest designer's goal is to maximize the players' expected total effort, then – if the asymmetry between the players is relatively low – the one‐stage contest should be used. However, if the asymmetry is relatively high, then the round‐robin tournament should be used.Type: journal articleJournal: The Scandinavian journal of economicsVolume: 119Issue: 4DOI: 10.1111/sjoe.12204
Scopus© Citations 10 -
PublicationThe First-Mover Advantage in Round-Robin Tournaments( 2016)
;Megidish, ReutSela, AnerType: journal articleJournal: Social Choice and WelfareVolume: 48Issue: 3 -
PublicationGender, Competitiveness and Physical Characteristics: Evidence from Professional TennisType: journal articleJournal: Journal of Sports EconomicsVolume: 17Issue: 3
Scopus© Citations 19 -
PublicationThe Order of Games in a Best-of-Three ContestType: journal articleJournal: Journal of Sports EconomicsVolume: 16Issue: 2
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PublicationBest-of-Two Contests with Psychological EffectsType: journal articleJournal: Theory and DecisionVolume: 75Issue: 1
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PublicationBehavioral Decision Making Factors- Are They Different for Professional Athletes?(Society for Judgment and Decision Making, 2011-08-01)
;Shavit, TalRosenboim, MosiType: journal articleJournal: Judgment and Decision MakingVolume: 6Issue: 6 -
PublicationLet's meet as usual: Do games played on non-frequent days differ? Evidence from top European soccer leagues( 2019-06)Balancing the allocation of games in sports competitions is an important organizational task that can have serious financial consequences. In this paper, we examine data from 9,930 soccer games played in the top German, Spanish, French, and English soccer leagues between 2007/2008 and 2016/2017. Using a machine learning technique for variable selection and applying a semi-parametric analysis of radius matching on the propensity score, we find that all four leagues have a lower attendance as the share of stadium capacity in games that take place on non-frequently played days compared to the frequently played days. In addition, we find that in all leagues except for the English Premier League, there is a significantly lower home advantage for the underdog teams on non-frequent days. Our findings suggest that the current schedule favors underdog teams with fewer home games on non-frequent days. Therefore, to increase the fairness of the competitions, it is necessary to adjust the allocation of the home games on non-frequent days in a way that eliminates any advantage driven by the schedule. These findings have implications for the stakeholders of the leagues, as well as for coaches and players.Type: conference paper