Now showing 1 - 10 of 14
  • Publication
    Transition Strategies in Fundamental Tax Reform
    (National Tax Association, 2012-06) ;
    This paper discusses transition strategies that might be used in moving from an income tax to consumption based business taxes in the form of an R-base cash-flow tax, an R+F-base tax, or an ACE (allowance for corporate equity) tax. While these three taxes have attractive neutrality properties, moving from the status quo to a new system often involves a diffi cult trade-off between short-run losses and longrun gains. We consider two alternative ways of spreading the gains and costs of reform more evenly across generations. Defi cit fi nancing of the large revenue loss that occurs immediately after reform allows the smoothing of wage tax rates over time and the elimination or reduction of short-run income losses. Alternatively, a system of delayed deductions requires fi rms to carry forward with interest some of the large deductions that are newly available after the enactment of a major tax reform. In shifting tax revenue from the future to the present, such policies are politically appealing, as they trade somewhat reduced future income gains for improved economic performance immediately after reform.
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  • Publication
    Aging and the Financing of Social Security in Switzerland
    Demographic projections forecast a doubling of the dependency ratio until 2050 as well as an increase of 10% in population due to longer life expectancy in Switzerland. To quantify the effects on social security and public finances, we use a computational overlapping generations model with five margins of labor supply: labor market participation, hours worked, job search, retirement, and on-the-job training. Starting with a passive fiscal strategy, we find that aging might reduce per capita income by 20 percent and necessitate a long-run increase of wage taxes and social security contributions by 21 percentage points. A comprehensive reform package, including an increase in the effective retirement age to 68 years and several other measures, may limit the tax increases to 4 percentage points of value added tax and reduce the decline of per capita income to less than 6%. Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ses:arsjes:2011-ii-3
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  • Publication
    Pension reform, retirement, and life-cycle unemployment
    This paper investigates the labor market impact of four often proposed policy measures for sustainable pensions: strengthening the tax benefit link, moving from wage to price indexation of benefits, lengthening calculation periods, and introducing more actuarial fairness in pension assessment. We consider the impact on three margins of aggregate labor supply, retirement behavior, job search, and hours worked.We provide some analytical results and use a computational model to demonstrate the economic impact of recent pension reform in Austria. Reducing the distortion in the retirement decision by introducing pension supplements and discounts conditional on the chosen retirement date promises the largest gains.We also find that the pension reform is far from sufficient to offset the fiscal implications of projected demographic change in Austria.
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    Scopus© Citations 20
  • Publication
    Economic Ageing and Demographic Change
    (Verlag der österreichischen Akademie der Wissenschaften, 2007-05-06)
    Grafenhofer, Dominik
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    Lutz, Wolfgang
    This paper presents a generalised model of overlapping generations with economic ageing of households. Economic age is defined as a set of personal attributes such as earnings potential and tastes that are characteristic of a person's position in the life-cycle. We separate the concepts of economic age and time since birth by assuming only a small number of different states of age. Agents sharing the same economic characteristics are aggregated analytically to a small number of age groups. The model thus allows for a very parsimonious approximation of life-cycle differences in earnings, wealth and consumption. As an illustration, we apply the model quantitatively to study the impact of demographic change.
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  • Publication
    Aging, Labor Markets and Pension Reform in Austria
    This paper investigates the dynamic consequences of demographic change and various pension reform scenarios for Austria. The analysis is based on a computable overlapping-generations model with life-cycle labor supply, savings, and search unemployment. The public sector is decomposed into general government and an unfunded pension system with a tax - benefit linkage. Our quantitative analysis considers several pension reform scenarios on top of the demographic transition in an aging society. We find that lowering the pension replacement rate and increasing the retirement age can have strong labor-market effects. They strengthen the labor supply both with respect to job search intensity, leading to lower unemployment rates, and with respect to hours worked.
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  • Publication
    The German Perspective on Eastern EU Enlargement
    (Blackwell Publishing Limited, 2001-04-01) ; ;
    Kohler, Wilhelm
    Discusses the German perspective on eastern European Union (EU) expansion. Accounts on the EU expansion of original single market state; Evaluation on the consequences of EU enlargement; Expectation on the benefits and costs of enlargement distribution across present EU member countries.
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  • Publication
    Public Debt and Generational Balance in Austria
    (Springer, 2000-09-01) ;
    Koman, Reinhard
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    Lüth, Erik
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    Raffelhüschen, Bernd
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    Based on Austria's fiscal stance in 1995, we compute the generational accounts for currently living as well as future generations. The results reveal the existence of an intergenerational imbalance in favor of currently living generations. Total public sector liabilities may be more than five times as high as the officially recorded level of public debt. Without any action, future generations would face life-time net taxes that are about 65 percent higher than the tax burden of a current newborn. If the government could fully and permanently retain the expenditure cutting and revenue raising effects of the 1996 fiscal consolidation package and the 1997 pension reform, then it might be able to significantly reduce the intergenerational liabilities. However, enacting both the recent tax reform 2000 and the reform of the family support scheme would increase again the fiscal imbalance and intergenerational bias of fiscal policy in Austria.
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  • Publication
    Austria: Restoring Generational Balance
    (European Commission, 1999) ;
    Koman, Reinhard
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    Lüth, Erik
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    Raffelhüschen, Bernd
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  • Publication
    Comparative Advantage in International Trade : Theory and Evidence
    (Physica-Verlag Heidelberg, 1998)
    The book addresses the empirical validity of the factor proportions theory based on a new, extensive data basis. Departing from Heckscher-Ohlin theory, it extends existing models by allowing factor productivities and factor prices to differ across countries. It reformulates ranking proportions derived from the Heckscher-Ohlin-Vanek equations. Based on these models, it empirically investigates in a cross-industry framework the patterns of international trade for a big sample of countries. The results support the value version of the HOV-model, especially in the case of developing countries. Moreover, the HOV model with perfect competition cannot be rejected in favour of a model allowing for scale economies and product differentiation.