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Fabricius Somogyi
Former Member
Last Name
Somogyi
First name
Fabricius
Email
fabricius.somogyi@unisg.ch
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PublicationLiquidity Risk and Currency Premia *( 2023-09-12)The currency market is the world's largest financial market by trading volume. We show that even in this highly liquid market exposure to liquidity risk commands an economically significant risk premium of up to 3.6% per year. Liquidity risk is not subsumed by existing currency risk factors and successfully prices the cross-section of currency excess returns. Moreover, we find that liquidity risk and carry trade premia are correlated, although this correlation is limited to static rather than dynamic carry trades. Building upon this result, we propose a liquidity-based explanation for the carry trade, which adds significant explanatory power to existing theories.Type: journal articleJournal: Management ScienceVolume: forthcoming
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PublicationAsymmetric Information Risk in FX MarketsThis work studies the information content of trades in the world’s largest over-the-counter (OTC) market, the foreign exchange (FX) market. It analyzes a novel, comprehensive order flow data set, distinguishing among different groups of market participants and covering a large cross-section of currency pairs. We find compelling evidence of heterogeneous superior information across agents, time, and currency pairs, consistent with the asymmetric information theory and OTC market fragmentation. A trading strategy based on the permanent price impact, capturing asymmetric information risk, generates high returns even after accounting for risk, transaction cost, and other common risk factors shown in the FX literature.Type: journal articleJournal: Journal of Financial EconomicsVolume: 140Issue: 2
Scopus© Citations 19 -
PublicationType: conference paper
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PublicationType: conference paper
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PublicationAsymmetric Information Risk in FX Markets( 2019-12-19)This work studies the information content of trades in the world's largest over-the-counter (OTC) market, the foreign exchange (FX) market. It analyses a novel, comprehensive order flow dataset, distinguishing amongst different groups of market participants and covering a large cross-section of currency pairs. We find compelling evidence of heterogeneous superior information across agents, time and currency pairs, consistent with the asymmetric information theory and OTC market fragmentation. A trading strategy based on the permanent price impact, capturing asymmetric information risk, generates high returns even after accounting for risk, transaction costs and other common risk factors documented in the FX literature.Type: conference paper
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PublicationHeterogeneous Information Content of Global FX Trading( 2019-01-04)This paper studies the information content of trades in the world's largest over-thecounter market, the foreign exchange (FX) market. The results are derived from a comprehensive order flow dataset distinguishing between different groups of market participants and covering a broad cross-section of currency pairs. Our findings show that both the contemporary and permanent price impact are heterogeneous across agents, time, and currency pairs, supporting the asymmetric information theory. A trading strategy based on the permanent price impact capturing superior information generates high returns even after accounting for risk, transaction costs, and other common risk factors documented in the FX literature.Type: conference paper
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PublicationType: conference paper
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PublicationType: conference paper
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PublicationHeterogeneous Information Content of Global FX Trading( 2018-11-05)This paper studies the information content of trades in the world's largest over-thecounter market, the foreign exchange (FX) market. The results are derived from a comprehensive order flow dataset distinguishing between different groups of market participants and covering a broad cross-section of currency pairs. Our findings show that both the contemporary and permanent price impact are heterogeneous across agents, time, and currency pairs, supporting the asymmetric information theory. A trading strategy based on the permanent price impact capturing superior information generates high returns even after accounting for risk, transaction costs, and other common risk factors documented in the FX literature.Type: conference paper