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Wanted: Easy Riders. The Aging of the German Motorcycle Rider Population and its Implications on the Motorcycle Market

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abstract The aim of this paper is to build a framework of the motorcycle business
in Germany, which can be used to construct a quantitative System
Dynamics (SD) simulation model thereof. The problem to be examined is the superannuation and further aging of the motorcycle rider population in Germany and its influence on the whole market. We have chosen to concentrate on Germany – the second largest European motorcycle market – as it is representative of most other developed motorcycle markets. A Causal Loop Diagram of the problem is developed in a step by step, walkthrough fashion. A discussion of the cohort effect with propose possible levers for change are also introduced.
   
type conference paper (English)
   
keywords Simulation, aging chains, motorcycles, Germany
   
name of conference International Conference of the System Dynamics Society (Radboud University Nijmegen, The Netherlands)
date of conference 23-7-2006
title of proceedings Proceedings of the 24th International Conference
publisher System Dynamics Society (University at Albany, State University of New York, NY, USA)
ISBN 978-0-9745329-4-3
review double-blind review
   
citation Olaya, C., & Ambroz, K. (2006). Wanted: Easy Riders. The Aging of the German Motorcycle Rider Population and its Implications on the Motorcycle Market. In Proceedings of the 24th International Conference. University at Albany, State University of New York, NY, USA: System Dynamics Society. - ISBN 978-0-9745329-4-3.