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Paul Söderlind
Title
Prof. PhD.
Last Name
Söderlind
First name
Paul
Email
paul.soderlind@unisg.ch
SSRN
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=25146
Now showing
1 - 9 of 9
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PublicationUnderstanding FX LiquidityWe provide a comprehensive study of the liquidity of spot foreign exchange (FX) rates over more than two decades and a large cross-section of currencies. First, we show that FX liquidity can be accurately measured with daily and readily available data. Second, we demonstrate that FX liquidity declines with funding constraints and global risk, supporting theoretical models relating funding and market liquidity. In these distressed circumstances, liquidity tends to evaporate more for developed and riskier currencies. Finally, we show stronger comovements of FX liquidities in distressed markets, especially when funding is constrained, volatility is high, and FX speculators incur losses.Type: journal articleJournal: Review of Financial StudiesVolume: 28Issue: 11DOI: 10.1093/rfs/hhv029
Scopus© Citations 91 -
PublicationMarket Expectations in the UK Before and After the ERM CrisisThe British pound left the ERM on 16 September 1992 after a period of turbulence. UK monetary policy soon shifted to lower short interest rates and an inflation target was announced. This paper uses daily option prices to estimate how the market's probability distribution of the future marks/pound exchange rate and UK and German interest rates changed over the summer and autumn of 1992. The results show, among other things, how various policy decisions affected the market's assessment of the probabilities of realignments and lending rate cuts.Type: journal articleJournal: EconomicaVolume: 67Issue: 265
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PublicationNew Techniques to Extract Market Expectations from Financial InstrumentsThis paper is a selective survey of new or recent methods to extract information about market expectations from asset prices for monetary policy purposes. Traditionally, interest rates and forward exchange rates have been used to extract expected means of future interest rates, exchange rates and inflation. More recently, these methods have been refined to rely on implied forward interest rates, so as to extract expected future time-paths. Very recently, methods have been designed to extract not only the means but the whole (risk neutral) probability distribution from a set of option prices.Type: journal articleJournal: Journal of Monetary EconomicsVolume: 40Issue: 2
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PublicationUnderstanding FX Liquidity( 2015-01-04)
;Karnaukh, NinaPrevious studies of liquidity in the foreign exchange (FX) market span short time periods or focus on specific measures of liquidity. In contrast, we provide the first comprehensive study of FX liquidity and commonality over more than two decades and a cross-section of forty exchange rates. We show that FX liquidity deteriorates with risk in FX, stock, bond, and money markets, and it comoves with liquidity in bond and stock markets. We also show that commonality in FX liquidities increases in distressed markets and it is stronger for countries with high-quality institutions, financial integration, and price stability. -
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PublicationUnderstanding FX liquidity( 2013-12-17)
;Karnaukh, NinaPrevious studies of liquidity in the foreign exchange (FX) market span short time periods or focus on specific measures of liquidity. In contrast, we provide a comprehensive study of FX liquidity and commonality over more than two decades and a cross-section of forty exchange rates. After identifying the most accurate liquidity proxies based on low-frequency and readily available data, we show that commonality in FX liquidities is stronger for developed currencies and in highly volatile markets. We also show that FX liquidity deteriorates with risk in stock, bond and FX markets, and that riskier currencies are more exposed to liquidity drops.Type: presentation -
PublicationUnderstanding FX LiquidityWe provide a comprehensive study of the liquidity of spot foreign exchange (FX) rates over more than two decades and a large cross-section of currencies. First, we show that FX liquidity can be accurately measured with daily and readily-available data. Second, we demonstrate that FX liquidity declines with funding constraints and global risk, supporting theoretical models relating funding and market liquidity. In these distressed circumstances, liquidity tends to evaporate more for developed and riskier currencies. Finally, we show stronger comovements of FX liquidities in distressed markets, especially when funding is constrained, volatility is high, and FX speculators incur losses.