Lukas Zumbrunn
8 results
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Item type:Publication, Controlled Language Increases Comprehension of Law for People(Association for Computing Machinery (ACM), 2025-03-12); ; Type:journal articleJournal:ACM Journal on Computing and Sustainable SocietiesVolume:3Issue:1DOI:10.1145/3711128 - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Resilience through Foresight: Implications for the Public Sector(2023-10-11)Foresight is a strategic tool, which a state may implement to set priorities in politics and investments, show potential gaps in knowledge and information, and importantly better understand uncertainties. Therefore, foresight is a suitable method to increase a state’s resilience in various fields. The present study aims at answering the following question: What are the decisive factors for the use of foresight in enhancing state resilience, and what are the effective strategies for its practical implementation? The question is answered by taking a multi-method approach, combining a multi-step literature review with an illustrative case analysis of the implementation of foresight for resilience. The results are twofold: Firstly, by creating a structured framework based on research, the present paper develops a better understanding of projects aiming to achieve increased resilience through the application of foresight. Secondly, the case study on the United Kingdom’s Resilience Framework demonstrates the practical applicability of the framework and shows how the UK approaches resilience by applying foresight. The paper thereby highlights the potential of well-structured foresight projects as a central tool for states to help create an understanding of and make crucial decisions on resilience despite uncertainty.Type:journal articleJournal:Swiss Yearbook of Administrative SciencesVolume:14Issue:1DOI:10.5334/ssas.183 - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Factors contributing to the use of foresight reports in parliament - the German case(2024); This study investigates the factors influencing the effective use of public sector foresight reports in political decision-making, with a particular focus on the German parliamentary context. Utilizing the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) as a theoretical framework, the research examines the perceived usefulness (PU), perceived ease of use (PEOU), attitude towards using (ATU), and behavioral intention to use (BIU) of foresight reports among German parliamentarians. The study extends TAM by incorporating specific contextual factors relevant to foresight in policymaking, such as participative foresight, the organizational setup of foresight units, and the actionability of insights. Through a Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) approach, the paper aims to unravel the complex interplay between these factors and their impact on parliamentarians' willingness to integrate foresight reports into their legislative work. The current hypotheses suggest that participative foresight, perceived actionability of reports, and alignment with political ideologies significantly influence the acceptance and use of foresight in policy formulation. However, the data collection is still to be done. This research will contribute to the literature on public management and foresight studies by providing nuanced insights into the success factors and challenges associated with incorporating foresight reports into political decision-making processes. Additionally, the study will offer practical implications for enhancing the impact of foresight activities within the public sector, particularly in terms of report design, dissemination strategies, and stakeholder engagement.Type:conference paper - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Opportunities for a Collaborative Approach with GenAI Agents in Public Sector Foresight Projects(2025); Davies, NathanThis paper explores the potential integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) into public sector foresight projects as proxies for citizen participation. Despite motivations to increase participatory approaches, foresight projects have remained constrained by challenges pertaining to scale and confidentiality. Recent advancements in AI technology, particularly in agentic Large Language Models (LLMs), provide new opportunities to simulate diverse public perspectives while managing sensitive strategic information. Through a theory-building approach, we will investigate how AI can enhance openness in foresight without compromising confidentiality. Our conceptual framework integrates insights from foresight, deliberative democracy, and technological affordances literature, emphasizing task-technology-user fit. Preliminary findings indicate significant theoretical and practical opportunities, including enhanced efficiency and inclusivity, alongside challenges such as ethical considerations, data authenticity, and public trust. By analysing expert perspectives across foresight and deliberative democracy fields, the paper contributes to the digital public-citizen innovation discourse and proposes directions for future research on the collaborative potential of human-AI interactions in strategic public administration.Type:conference contribution - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
Item type:Publication, Deliberate temporal organizing in politics: addressing grand challenges(2025); Holopainen, MariDeliberate temporal organizing plays a crucial role in addressing grand challenges by structuring actions and strategies across time to tackle issues that evolve and intensify. The study examines how geopolitical and environmental challenges are addressed through governmental foresight reports. Concretely, the Government Report on the Future aims to shape the Finland of future generations and to strengthen Finland's preparedness for the future. Empirically, we are interested in how Members of Parliament (MPs) perceive the importance of such foresight work for their decision-making process. The present paper acts as a critical steppingstone for our ongoing research project. With the high interest and importance attributed to the foresight work done in the Finnish parliament, we recognize the possible implications to understand a highly relevant setting for futures work and temporal organizing.Type:conference contribution - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
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Item type:Publication, Adapting the Technology Acceptance Model to Organizational Strategic Action(2025); Holopainen, MariType:conference poster - Some of the metrics are blocked by yourconsent settings
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